Why Experts believe GDP of India will grow by 10% this Financial Year

The major cities of India have been under lockdown from the month of April and most of them have increased the lockdown to 31 May 2021 as of now. Even after the economic shutdown the Indian business magnate Rakesh Jhunjhunwala has conveyed positive sentiments towards the Indian economy and stock market, whereas certain institutions have conveyed that they expect around 10% growth in the GDP of the country. Let’s look at what they have spoken about the growth of the GDP in India.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala on GDP of India
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala on Future of Indian Economy
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala on Centre’s economic management
Other Analysts on GDP of India
FAQ

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala on GDP of India

In an interview with a senior journalist, the Indian business magnate, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala has disapproved of the sentiments of the media and showed a positive approach to the Indian economy. The interviewer had spoken to Rakesh Jhunjhunwala about various issues faced by the country such as growth rate, investment and GDP and added that the country is facing an economic crisis.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala had conveyed down all the worries and said that he expects that the country would have a 10% growth for this fiscal year.

He added that considering the unexpected situation faced by the country, he expects the market to revive by the month of July which is with the reduction in cases due to the second wave of the pandemic.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala on Future of Indian Economy

While the journalist had expressed about the rise in economic problems in the country such as rise in unemployment, the decline in the purchasing power of the individuals and added a question asking when the citizens of the country are losing their lives, no money in their pocket and while the bodies are floating on the river how the stock market was doing well.

To the question, Jhunjhunwala answered that the market works on reality and not on the basis of sentiments. He said that the GST collection in the country during the month of April was 1.41 lakh crores and there has been a rise in the income of all the major companies from the past 3-4 quarters.

The journalist had asked another question asking if the market is being manipulated and how can there be a positive sentiment by the investors when the unemployment is increasing. To this, he answered by saying that investments are made based on the future projections and it looks promising.

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Rakesh Jhunjhunwala on Centre’s Economic Management

After ensuring that the country’s economy is far from sinking, Jhunjhunwala had conveyed that he would give a score of 9 out of 10 for the economic management of the Centre. He also added that the effect of introducing major reforms in the sector such as agricultural, mining, labor and power sectors will be seen later.

He also pointed out the digitalization made by the government which has helped people to transfer money easily within minutes whereas a few years back people had to pay transactional fees and wait for a while to transfer the money.

He said that the GDP growth is in the right direction and added that the only way to get rid of poverty is to increase in growth which will, in turn, increase the wealth of the people.

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Other Analysts on GDP of India

Whereas multiple analysts and financial agencies have downgraded the GDP for the country for the present fiscal year. Barclays had predicted the GDP growth of India to be more than 10% in the beginning but now they have lowered it to 10%. The latest forecast was done by JP Morgan who has lowered it to 9%.

The Chief Economist of the SBI group has said that there is a possibility for the economy of India to grow to the sub of 10% during the FY 2022. He added that the month of April was somewhat a washout, while May has been a complete washout and June is also expected to have a little bit of washout.

FAQ

Is India doing good in GDP?

India's economy had expanded by 3.1 per cent in the March quarter and FY20 GDP growth was around 4.2 per cent.

What is the growth rate of Indian economy in 2020?

GDP at Current Prices or Nominal GDP in the year 2020-21 is estimated to attain a level of Rs 195.86 trillion, as against Rs 203.51 trillion in 2019-20

Which sector is backbone of Indian economy?

MSME is considered as a backbone of Indian Economy.

Conclusion

He said that when all these factors are being taken into consideration the situation of the country is not looking so good. SBI economists have also cut the forecasts of the Indian economy from 11% to 10% and he added that they are focusing on that number until 31 May 2021.