Indian Automobile Industry Analysis

🔍Insights

Himangi Khare

Oct 22, 2020 — 5 min read

The Indian automobile industry is the world’s fourth-biggest, auto mobile industry after the USA. It is presently the world's fourth-biggest producer of vehicles and 7th biggest producer of industrial automobiles .The size of the Indian automobile industry includes aspect manufacturing which is anticipated to attain Rs16.16-18.18 trillion ($ 251.4-282.eight billion) through 2026.

Two-wheelers dominate the enterprise and made up 80% of the home car income in FY19.Overall, Domestic car income multiplied at 6.71% CAGR among FY13-18 with 26.27 million automobiles was bought in FY19.Indian car enterprise has obtained Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) worth US$ 23.51 billion among April 2000 and September 2019.

Indian automobile industry growth recorded a boom in home income at 17.55%, accompanied by three-wheelers at 10.27% .The passenger automobile income in India crossed 3.37 million gadgets in FY19 and is similarly anticipated to boom to 10 million gadgets through FY20.Passenger automobile exports are anticipated to touch approximately 6,90,000 gadgets in 2019-20.

Indian Automobile Market by Vehicle type

COVID 19 automobile industry impact

Indian Automotive Industry, unfortunately, is going through a hard time. Due to COVID-19, New Emission norms, Weak client, and monetary sentiments, Coronavirus will extrude the future of the automobile organization and is forecasted to offer a protracted-lasting impact on a massive scale.

The dreary fact is that March and April remained the most tough months of 2020 for the auto sector, for the 40 days lockdown produced nil earnings and zero manufacturing. However, OEMs gave monetary beneficial resource and helped dealers to route out of these tough times.

Indian automobile industry slowdown

Demand for emblem new cars declined sharply in 2019, forcing automakers to reduce manufacturing throughout the year. Sales had been anticipated to revive in the festive season from October 2019 however they did not do so. In fact, there has been an encouraging spike in income in Q3 – inspired through promotional offers, competitive discounts, new version launches, and the growing availability of fashions supplying Bharat Stage-VI (BS-VI) emission standard.

Government Objectives for the Indian automobile industry

Government of India has shortlisted 11 towns for the advent of electrical automobiles (EVs). The Government plans to start with a delivery structure FAME (Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of (Hybrid) and Electric Vehicles in India) scheme.

The first section of the scheme had been prolonged to March 2019.The Government of India accredited the FAME-II scheme with a financial requirement of Rs10,000 crore which sums up to ($ 1.39 billion) for FY20-22.Under Union Budget 2019-20, the authorities introduced to offer extra profits tax deduction of Rs1.five lakh ($ 2146) on the loans taken to buy EVs.

Under FAME II, Government has sanctioned 5,595 e-buses in 64 towns in 26 states for inter-metropolis and intra-metropolis operations. Under the scheme, 2,636 charging stations in 62 towns throughout 24 States/UTs have been sanctioned.

Moderating Economic Growth

The worldwide monetary slowdown has impacted the Indian automobile sector (and Europe and China).India’s GDP increase in Q3 2019 fell to 4.5% from 5% in Q2, and from 7.1% a 12 months ago, on account of decreased customer spending and reduced personal investment. A depressed rural monetary system with the decrease annual rainfall maintains to have a vast effect on two-wheeler demand.

Growing unemployment and a moderating monetary system led humans to delay car buying for decisions. According to the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE), the unemployment charge became into at 8.5% in October 2019, the very best while you recall that August 2016.The International Monetary Fund has reduced its increased forecast for the Indian monetary system from 7% to 6.1% in 2020.

Growing Competition

In spite of the plain slow down, MG Motors (an element of SAIC Group), BYD, and different main Chinese OEMs alongside with Changan Automobile and Great Wall Motors have critical funding plans for India and are showcasing their proposed fashions at this year’s Delhi Auto show.

Bucking the trend MG Motors and Korean automaker Kia Motors have had sturdy launches in their latest SUV fashions, receiving great orders months in advance.With the multiplied opposition in passenger vehicles in 2020, Counterpoint estimates those new automakers will nibble away at Maruti Suzuki’s and Tata Motors’ marketplace shares.

Growing Popularity of Shared Mobility

Shared mobility companies keep to dent the name for passenger cars in city areas, with human beings an increasing number of more who prefer shared-mobility offerings for his or her commute.

Based on variety one studies performed withinside the America of America in 2019, Counterpoint Research estimates out of 3 common customers of shared mobility offerings recollect ride-hailing more economical than proudly owning a car.Leading gamers Ola and Uber have plans to increase offerings similarly into tier-2 and tier-three towns withinside the following couple of years.

Cautious Lending through NBFCs

Non-banking monetary companies (NBFCs) finance maximum automobile purchases and are used mainly in rural India. Dealers depend on NBFCs to fund their wholesale shopping of cars from OEMs. The problems surrounding India’s NBFCs introduced careful lending that has adversely affected car income in 2019 and suggests no signs and symptoms of improvement.

Sellers have approached India’s Finance Industry Development Council, searching for authorities intervention to enhance the monetary health of main NBFCs. Overall for 2020, Counterpoint Research’s car income forecast for India stays careful, with numerous factors – mainly tight credit score conditions, the moderating economic system, and the transition to BS-VI emissions standards – growing uncertainty, boundaries, and delays.